Long Liquidation Looks Bullish for Gold

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, examine the gold COMEX data and find it supports a bottom in the gold correction.

Last week we thought that we had seen the bottom in the gold correction. More evidence of that came Monday with the release of Friday trading data from COMEX. Last week, as the gold price began to fall towards its 50 day moving average where corrections usually end or breakdowns can begin, COMEX Speculators blew an enormous number of contracts out the window.

At the close last Monday, the Open Interest on COMEX was 483,408 contracts, a total which had grown quickly as the gold price advanced from the December low of $1124. At the Friday close, the Open Interest had fallen to just 395,599 contracts, a reduction of an enormous 87,809 contracts or 18.1% in just four trading days. Clearly, a large number of players panicked and liquidated BUT the price never even touched the 50 dma at $1178.

What happened? Was it fear of this week’s Fed meeting (statement this Wednesday)? Or the employment report this coming Friday? We don’t know. But it was the fastest, most aggressive liquidation we have seen in years. And it did not break gold. We think that’s likely bullish.

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Disclosures:
1) Statements and opinions expressed are the opinions of Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The authors are wholly responsible for the validity of the statements. Streetwise Reports was not involved in any aspect of the content preparation. The authors were not paid by Streetwise Reports LLC for this article. Streetwise Reports was not paid by the authors to publish or syndicate this article.
2) Seabridge Gold is a sponsor of Streetwise Reports. Streetwise Reports does not accept stock in exchange for its services. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
3) This article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
4) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise during the up-to-four-week interval from the time of the interview/article until after it publishes.

Chart provided by the authors.

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Environmental Permitting Process Advancing at NOVAGOLD’s Donlin Gold Project

NOVAGOLD’s announcement that it is nearing the end of the Environmental Impact Statement process at its 50%-owned Donlin Gold project in Alaska was welcomed by a pair of observers.

NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. (NG:TSX; NG:NYSE.MKT) released its 2016 financial results on Jan. 25, and provided updates on the 50%-owned Donlin Gold project in Alaska and the 50%-owned Galore Creek project in British Columbia, including the news that the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) process at the Donlin project is nearing completion. The company stated that the lead permitting agency, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, is working on the final EIS, and that “the Corps’ schedule envisages the final EIS to be published in early 2018.” The company also noted that “other permitting applications and submissions have been concurrently advanced with state and federal agencies.”

Analyst Raj Ray of National Bank Financial Markets wrote in a Jan. 25 research flash that “Donlin Gold permitting enters last stretch with Final EIS expected by early 2018. . .the Donlin Gold permitting process is driven by the U.S. National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) which requires the preparation of an EIS which is a detailed evaluation of the environmental effects of the proposed action and alternatives. . .the NEPA process drives the federal permitting timeline and state permits are anticipated to be issued once the federal process is completed.”

Ray also noted that the “Alaska Native Corporations also play an important role in the NEPA process and their early involvement in the Donlin Gold project bodes well for the permitting process.”

On the financial side, Ray stated that NOVAGOLD “continues to maintain a strong financial position with cash and term deposits of ~US$105 mln at the end of fiscal Q4/16 which we believe is more than sufficient to complete permitting of Donlin Gold. . .the strong cash balance provides optionality protection over the next few years.”

Ray noted that he views NOVAGOLD as a “long-dated option on the gold price that offers investors long-term exposure to a large-scale and relatively high grade open-pit deposit in a stable jurisdiction which could assume significance if our forecast for industry-wide production decline play out over the next few years.”

Eric Muschinski, editor of Gold Investment Letter, wrote on Jan. 26 that “I believe the upside on this stock is enormous. . .this is a stock that you can comfortably own in size because of its mature stage of development, liquidity, and pedigree.”

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Disclosure:
1) Patrice Fusillo compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an employee. She owns, or members of her immediate household or family own, shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: None. She is, or members of her immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
2) The following companies mentioned in this article are sponsors of Streetwise Reports: NOVAGOLD Resources Inc. Streetwise Reports does not accept stock in exchange for its services. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise during the up-to-four-week interval from the time of the interview or article until after it publishes.

Additional Disclosures for this Content

( Companies Mentioned: NG:TSX; NG:NYSE.MKT,
)

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